Probability of flight being canceled

Discussion in 'American Airlines | AAdvantage' started by jasher926, Dec 30, 2011.  |  Print Topic

  1. jasher926

    jasher926 Silver Member

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    My wife and I are booked on a flight this Sunday (Jan 1) and we are literally the only ones on the plane (from what I can tell on the seat map). It is an American Eagle flight, so what are the chances AA will cancel this flight all together and put us on another one?

    I assume AA wouldn't fly with just two people on board (and we're not even revenue passengers given we booked with miles!), but maybe I'm wrong.
     
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  2. Lufthansa Flyer
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    Lufthansa Flyer Gold Member

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    Likelyhood would be low. Remember that the aircraft you are on needs to be at your destination for the subsequent flight after yours.
     
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  3. PointHoarder
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    PointHoarder Silver Member

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    I very much doubt they would cancel the flight.
    The plane also has to fly back from your destination and it likely has passengers booked on that flight.
     
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  4. Wandering Aramean
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    Wandering Aramean Gold Member

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    Assuming the return has decent loads the chances of a cancel are low. But it is most likely an out-and-back turn on the aircraft so if they think they can successfully consolidate flights and not misconnect passengers there is a chance. A very small one still, but it is there.

    The other thing to remember os that seat maps are not a particularly great indicator of load.
     
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  5. kansaskeith

    kansaskeith Gold Member

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    Yes, that's what I was thinking as I read this thread.

    Let us know if the two of you get where you are going, on the planned flight. With Eagle, who knows?
     
  6. mowogo
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    mowogo Gold Member

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    I was once on a flight with 7 passengers, and it had no problems because the inbound flight was fairly full. The only reason we even had 7 was because AA had cancelled an earlier flight and they needed to transfer passengers over to our flight.
     
  7. mattsteg
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    mattsteg Gold Member

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    My sister's flight home for Christmas had I believe 3 passengers, including an infant in arms, on a 50-seat CR2. Possibly one more, but I believer her mentioning a 1:1 crew/passenger ratio with one FA on board. I doubt the outbound was much more full. The destination was EAS-subsidized, which may have implications.
     
  8. NYBanker
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    NYBanker Gold Member

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    I have been the only pax on a US flight one time.

    On another flight, I was with a group of three people and we were the only ones on the flight on DL.

    My wife and I were two of eight on Concorde. They had eight crew on that flight! 1on1 coverage. :)

    IMHO, the only flights that have an other-than-trivial chance of getting cancelled due to load are Shuttle flights (LGA-BOS, LGA-DCA) and some ORD-LGA flights. In these cases, (a) the planes nearly always just do turns (back and forth between the set city pair) and (b) there is usually another scheduled flight one hour later.
     
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  9. gemac
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    gemac Silver Member

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    I've been one of five passengers on a 747 ORD-LHR. That was fun.
     
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  10. ceieoc

    ceieoc Silver Member

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    It is even more fun when you are the only passenger on board, sitting in coach with a crew of four. When a flight attendant asks if you would prefer to sit up front, you say, "Are you sure there is space available for me?"
     
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  11. gemac
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    gemac Silver Member

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    The FAs moved the 5 pax from Y to F, then took turns serving F. When it wasn't their turn, they were stretched out in J.
     
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  12. JetsettingEric
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    JetsettingEric Silver Member

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    I wason a flight with only 3 paying passengers on it. (day after thanksgiving). On the plane, I saw 7+ crew standing by on the flight. Despite getting the plane where they need to be, I'm sure they need to get some crew back to their bases as well.
     
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  13. jasher926

    jasher926 Silver Member

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    Yup. It wasn't canceled. Only ones on the plane.
     
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  14. ceieoc

    ceieoc Silver Member

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    Did you sit up front or in the back of the plane?
     
  15. kansaskeith

    kansaskeith Gold Member

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    Which boarding group were you in? :)
     
  16. ceieoc

    ceieoc Silver Member

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    I had some more questions regarding your flight:
    Did the flight attendant address you using your name?
    Was the flight attendant too busy to offer you a beverage service?
    Did the flight attendant block off cockpit access with a beverage cart if the pilot needed to use the lavatory?
    Did you receive a predeparture beverage?
    Did your flight run out of your favorite beverage?
    Did you need to gate check any luggage?
    Did the flight attendant announce the safety briefing over the PA system?
    After takeoff, did the pilot ring chimes to let you know you were over 10,000 feet and could use your approved electronic equipment?
    Did you have an announcement about earning valuable AAdvantage miles?
    When you arrived, did you get the usual chatter about, welcome to ____________________. The current local time is ___________. Please stay seated until the plane comes to a complete stop and the seatbelt light is extinguished or did the flight attendant simply say, "We're here"?
     
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