I am finding that with AA's "First Special" fares, upgrades are getting harder for EXP and CK. I am finding that F is selling out and we are now seeing EXPs way down on the upgrade list. Some First Special (FS) fares are only 50% more than Economy Super Saver fares and half of what Economy Saver fares. For example, a transcon FS fare IAD-LAX can be as low as $180 more than the cheapest Super Saver fare. If one were an AA Platinum, upgrade segment coupons would cost 5x$30 or $150 for the waitlist upgrade. But confirmable with an FS fare is only a few dollars more. Are we starting to see the TOD (Ten's of Dollars) effect on AA, like UA - but at ticket purchase time rather than check in time?