First off, I wanted to express my appreciation and gratitude to this great message board. Being new to the reward game, you guys have been extremely helpful and gracious with your advice and help. In a few short months, I have a completely new and different perspective on booking flights/hotels which lead me to my question. The clouds and rain are getting oppressive here in Seattle and my wife and I are in need of some sun, music, and southern hospitality. We have decided to spend spring break in her home town of Austin Texas and I have been looking at airline tickets to purchase. I am finding some inexpensive ($120 incl taxes), o/w, non stop flights on AS from SEA-AUS but the return prices are quite high, three times as much in some cases. I am thinking about purchasing the SEA-AUS tickets and waiting (praying) that the return prices drop. If they don't to my liking, I would redeem two one ways using Avios for 10,000 points each. I have set up a Kayak Price Alert (thanks Milevalue) for my target dates. What do you think of my thought process and am I missing anything? Thanks in advance.