2011 Hurricane Season (Atlantic and Eastern Pacific)

Discussion in 'General Discussion | Travel' started by SC Flier, Jul 27, 2011.  |  Print Topic

  1. SC Flier
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    SC Flier Gold Member

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    News, information, and discussion of 2011 hurricanes that may affect the North American region.

    I'm starting this thread primarily as a news/alerts thread. Those with an interest in hurricane news may wish to watch this thread. (Click on "Watch Thread" in the upper right.)

    Discussion of hurricanes and concerns about their potential effect on travel is also welcome.

    Helpful links:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ (U.S. National Hurricane Center)
    http://www.stormpulse.com/ (Thanks, viguera!)


    Twitter:
    @NHC_Pacific
    @NHC_Atlantic
     
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  2. SC Flier
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    SC Flier Gold Member

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    NHC:

    Satellite imagery indicates a tropical depression or tropical storm could be forming about 90 miles north of Cancun, Mexico. An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is currently enroute to investigate the area...and if it confirms the presence of a circulation...advisories will be initiated this afternoon. Interests in the central and western Gulf of Mexico should monitor this system as it moves west-northwestward near 15 mph. This system has a high chance...near 100 percent..of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
     
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  3. milchap
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    I noticed this one. It will grow and who knows where it will move to next.
     
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  4. miles and smiles
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    The chances of it affecting in you in Winnipeg are "fairly" small. :D
    The chances of it bringing some relief to southern Texas in the form of much needed rain and a break in the heat wave are much better.
     
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  5. milchap
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    Agreed aboug YWG. :)
    Hope you get the rain needed.
     
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  6. SC Flier
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    I thought exactly the same thing about both points! :D

    We just hope that it won't strengthen too much before landfall.
     
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  7. miles and smiles
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    Tropical Storm Don is now forecast to head toward Texas and make landfall as a storm (not hurricane) on Saturday - probably right in the heart of the area suffering from the worst drought. Not a weekend to visit South Padre Island, but probably a good weekend for much needed rain.
     
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  8. SC Flier
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    SC Flier Gold Member

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    Don is coming ashore tonight as a tropical storm with winds of 45 knots. Should bring some much-needed rain to southern Texas, though not nearly what is needed. Could damage cotton crops, though. 1-3 inches mostly on the south side of the storm.

    There's another system being monitored now:
    A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
     
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  9. miles and smiles
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    Yep, it looks like Don will bring mostly moderate rain (heavy in the Mexican mountains) without intense winds, so should be mostly beneficial to south Texas.

    This is the time of the year when I start reminding folks headed for the coast to PAY ATTENTION TO THE WEATHER.
     
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  10. viguera
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    viguera Gold Member

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    Storm Pulse is by and large one of the most useful sites when you want to keep an eye on the big picture...

    http://www.stormpulse.com/

    And I'm definitely keeping an eye on this hurricane season as I'm in the keys in 3 weeks... wouldn't be fun if they get hit with something big.
     
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  11. SC Flier
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    Tropical Storm Emily:

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...​
    * PUERTO RICO... VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
    *THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    * HAITI

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...​
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

    The predicted path through Sunday currently includes Cuba, the Bahamas, Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas. Forecast is not predicting an increase to hurricane strength.
     
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  12. miles and smiles
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    Hurricane Irene has passed Puerto Rico, is headed for Dominican Republic tonight and tomorrow and then the Bahamas. - on Wednesday/Thursday. Florida and the southeastern U.S. will likely be affected on Friday/Saturday.
     
  13. viguera
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    viguera Gold Member

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    I'm in Islamorada right now and so far the weather couldn't be nicer. High 80s / low 90s and sunny most of the day. Water temp is really high too.

    I'm leaving friday morning though... Not going to chance it, even though that might already be too late.
     
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  14. miles and smiles
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    I'd pay close attention to the forecast. You might need to get out early, depending on how it tracks.
     
  15. viguera
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    viguera Gold Member

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    Yeah I'm already planning to head out of the keys on Thursday, which will probably mean running into a heap of people on the way out as well.

    The only consolation is that I'm on mile marker 81, so that'd be a relatively short trek back into the mainland -- even if there's a mandatory evacuation and traffic is a mess, since it's "only" 40-50 miles on US-1.

    It's already Category 2 and should be right around the area mid-day Thursday, so it's definitely going to be fun to watch. I'm supposed to be on a DL flight to JFK Friday at noon, but we'll see how that works out.
     
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  16. miles and smiles
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    I'm glad to hear you're being flexible and paying attention. Hurricanes are nothing to fool with when you are on a little island.
     
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  17. viguera
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    Or even on a relatively big one... :)

    I was in DR when David came around in '79. It was not fun.
     
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  18. miles and smiles
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    I have avoided any big hurricanes, though I did experience the eye of Hurricane Gloria passing over New Haven in 1985. It was very amazing to go outside as the eye passed over. Relatively quiet, but very eerie.
     
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  19. SC Flier
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  20. viguera
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    It's getting serious here. Just landed at JFK and they're saying most flights on sunday are already canceled.

    They have mandatory evacuations of low lying areas and the subway and other trains are not running starting tomorrow at noon.
     
  21. travlr

    travlr Silver Member

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    It rained in Austin, Texas for a few minutes yesterday... tons of cheering at the restaurant I was in. We desperately need the rain. Maybe we'll finally break our 70+ days of 100+ degree weather.
     
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